Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 132.171523 150.812216 171.538285 196.361224 225.373503 258.317590 298.711963
2025-11-16 105.402722 129.475375 158.600187 196.701038 245.622921 306.857884 390.138041
2025-11-23 89.472565 115.656077 149.257790 196.063979 260.404955 346.959024 474.283553
2025-11-30 79.740183 107.402542 144.642895 199.273281 278.778148 392.488150 571.520748
2025-12-07 69.399308 96.599569 134.655694 192.885664 281.708642 415.414811 638.424716
2025-12-14 62.377530 89.410918 128.562687 190.800215 289.911864 446.346050 721.783247
2025-12-21 57.658779 84.921856 125.694792 192.873595 304.308524 488.363473 829.929289
2025-12-28 54.956855 83.089608 126.492549 200.553062 328.448841 549.476426 982.037263
2026-01-04 52.106462 80.671332 126.006283 205.889676 349.079904 607.246973 1138.581267
2026-01-11 48.207747 76.161691 121.616102 203.962562 356.433599 641.753878 1255.843457
2026-01-18 45.904687 74.028661 120.903264 208.273316 375.561341 700.993669 1435.264654
2026-01-25 42.954993 70.524425 117.479078 207.220096 384.237940 740.770010 1580.324058
2026-02-01 40.381610 67.678669 115.342975 209.130204 400.681258 802.625034 1798.628620
2026-02-08 37.818275 64.645313 112.625436 209.732731 414.919173 863.221605 2032.092177
2026-02-15 35.368928 61.571412 109.488732 209.056474 426.280287 919.449597 2269.799971
2026-02-22 33.686357 59.738468 108.472930 212.510535 447.113768 1001.485781 2599.901790
2026-03-01 30.978198 55.732507 102.864984 205.637079 443.517009 1023.836764 2768.182941
2026-03-08 29.046881 53.048471 99.600457 203.393520 450.366156 1073.694895 3033.262753
2026-03-15 27.752345 51.491225 98.440655 205.624094 468.302701 1155.985201 3426.105955
2026-03-22 27.135662 51.220214 99.878921 213.887954 502.570305 1289.856362 4036.408529
2026-03-29 26.316920 50.464975 100.218517 219.632642 531.360324 1414.860244 4663.946653
2026-04-05 24.892414 48.342513 97.427863 217.557985 539.046531 1479.503387 5093.081975
2026-04-12 24.116724 47.516451 97.387397 222.199063 565.930220 1609.133122 5829.637490